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Recent Developments in Probabilistic Seismic Hazard and Seismic Risk Assessment: Applications, Improvements, Shortcomings and Perspectives (SHR-1)
21 August 2012, Tuesday
Lecture hall BLUE
Conveners J. Woessner, S. Parolai, M. Pagani, C. Tüzün, D. Giardini
10:00-10:15 The New SASHA Code: Generalized Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Assessment in Terms of Macroseismic Intensity (SHR1: O1)
D. Albarello, V.D. Amico, R. Rotondi, M. Garcia-Fernandez, G. Zonno
10:15-10:30 Estimation of Macroseismic Scenarios in European Countries (SHR1: O2)
R. Rotondi, R. Sigbjornsson, E. Varini, C. Brambilla
10:30-10:45 Extension of the Aki-Utsu B-Value Estimator for Incomplete Catalogs (SHR1: O3)
A. Kijko, A. Smit
10:45-11:00 Lateral Stress Drop Variations and the Tohoku Aftershocks in the Context of Earthquake Source Characteristics in Japan (SHR1: O4)
A. Oth
11:00-11:15 Comparing Earthquake Models for the Corinth Rift for Mw>=6 (Greece) (SHR1: O5)
A. Boiselet, O. Scotti, H. Lyon-Caen
11:15-11:30 Coffee Break
11:30-11:45 Perspectives on Building a Collaborative Global Earthquake Hazard Model: Issues in Uncertainty, Heterogeneity and Regional Continuity (SHR1: O6)
G.A. Weatherill, D. Monelli, M. Pagani
11:45-12:00 A Community-Based Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Assessment for the Euro-Mediterranean Region: an Overview (SHR1: O7)
J. Woessner, L. Danciu, D. Giardini
12:00-12:15 Determination of Maximum Magnitude in Europe for Seismic Hazard Assessment (SHR1: O8)
C. Meletti, V. D Amico, F. Martinelli
12:15-12:30 Sensitivity of Seismic Hazard Estimates on Ground-Motion Prediction Equations (GMPEs) Selection (SHR1: O9)
L. Danciu
12:30-12:45 The Seismic Hazard Assessment of the Territory of Tadjikistan (SHR1: O10)
A.R. Ischuk, Z.G. Ilyasova
12:45-13:00 Seismic Risk Assessment for Earthquake Early Warning and Rapid Response Systems: the Bishkek (Kyrgyzstan) Test Case (SHR1: O11)
M. Pittore, D. Bindi, K. Fleming, S. Parolai, M. Picozzi, M. Pilz, J. Stankiewicz, S. Tyagunov, S. Ullah, M. Wieland, J. Zschau
13:00-14:30 Lunch
14:30-14:45 A Consistent Cross-Border Seismic Hazard Model for Loss Estimation and Risk Management in Canada (SHR1: O12)
P.C. Thenhaus, K.W. Campbell, N. Gupta, D.F. Smith, M.M. Khater
14:45-15:00 Quantitative Risk Evaluation and Mapping: Prioritisation of Actions (SHR1: O13)
C.S. Oliveira, F. Mota De Sa, M.A. Ferreira, M.L. Sousa, S. Raposo, R. Rupakhety, F. Bianco, F. Meroni, S.D. Amico, A. Carvalho, R. Sigbjornsson, G. Zonno
15:00-15:15 A New Reference Global Instrumental Earthquake Catalogue (1900-2009) (SHR1: O14)
D. Di Giacomo, R. Engdahl, I. Bondar, D. Storchak, A. Villasenor, P. Bormann, W.H.K. Lee, J. Harris
15:15-15:30 A Self-Correcting Stochastic Model of Earthquake Occurrence Enhanced by Geologic Fault Data (SHR1: O15)
R. Rotondi, E. Varini, R. Basili, S. Barba, B. Betro
15:30-15:45 A Stochastic Earthquake Rupture Forecast Combining Smoothed Seismicity and Smoothed Moment-Weighted Fault Contribution for Europe (SHR1: O16)
S. Hiemer, J. Woessner, J.D. Zechar, S. Wiemer, D.D. Jackson, R. Basili
15:45-16:00 Effect of Surface Average Shear-Wave Velocity on the Vertical-to-Horizontal Ratio of the Ground Motion: Comparing Rock and Soft Sediment Sites (SHR1: O17)
V. Poggi, B. Edwards, D. Fah
16:00-16:15 Coffee Break
16:15-16:30 Revision of the Campbell-Bozorgnia NGA Ground Motion Prediction Equation (SHR1: O18)
K.W. Campbell, Y. Bozorgnia
16:30-16:45 Modelling of Ground-Motion Distribution in Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Assessment and Loss Estimation (SHR1: O19)
V. Sokolov, F. Wenzel
16:45-17:00 PSHA Analysis Based on a Stochastic Gmpe for the South-East of France (SHR1: O20)
S. Drouet, C. Martin
17:00-17:15 A Comparison of NGA Ground Motion Prediction Equations to Strong Motion Data of Taiwan (SHR1: O21)
P.S. Lin, P.S. Hsieh, C.T. Cheng, K.S. Shao, Y.C. Wu, C.W. Chang
17:15-17:30 Site Specific Design Earthquake Characteristics (SHR1: O22)
A. Ansal, G. Tonuk, A. Kurtulus, B. Cetiner

 

17:30-18:30 POSTER SESSION-2: Tuesday, 21 August 2012
SHR-1: Recent Developments in Probabilistic Seismic Hazard and Seismic Risk Assessment: Applications, Improvements, Shortcomings and Perspectives
Hall 2nd Floor, under PLENARY Hall
SHR1: P068 AN EXPERIENCE OF THE DEVELOPMENT OF SEISMIC ZONATION MAPS IN DETERMINISTIC AND PROBABILISTIC FORM ON AN EXAMPLE OF THE EAST KAZAKHSTAN DISTRICT T. Abakanov, A.N. Lee, A.B. Sadykova, N.V. Silacheva 58038
SHR1: P069 HOW NUMBER AND POSITION OF SENSORS AFFECT TO THE F-K DISPERSION CURVE CALCULATION: APPLICATION TO TRIANGULAR ARRAYS S. Rosa-Cintas, J.J. Galiana-Merino, J. Rosa-Herranz, J.J. Martinez-Espla, S. Molina-Palacios, J.L. Soler-Llorens 58149
SHR1: P070 THE EUROPEAN PROJECT UPSTRAT-MAFA G. Zonno, R. Rotondi, C.S. Oliveira, A. Carvalho, M. Garcia-Fernandez, R. Sigbjornsson 58448
SHR1: P071 COMPARISON OF TWO METHODS FOR ESTIMATION OF INFLUENCE OF LOCAL SITE CONDITIONS ON THE SEISMIC INTENSITY: INTENSITY INCREASE, AND NONLINEAR EARTHQUAKE RESPONSE ANALYSES (NERA) A.A. Krylov, S.A. Kovachev, A.I. Ivashchenko 58799
SHR1: P072 SEISMIC HAZARD ESTIMATION FOR CENTRAL ASIA: RESULTS AND PROBLEMS A. Ischuk, C. Lindholm, K. Abdrakhmatov 59181
SHR1: P073 SEISMIC HAZARD ASSESSMENT OF THE SOUTH STREAM SUBMARINE PIPELINE ACROSS THE BLACK SEA A.I. Ivashchenko, S.A. Kovachev, L.I. Lobkovsky, S.G. Mironyuk 59745
SHR1: P074 THE (SMALL BUT GROWING) OPENQUAKE COMMUNITY: INITIAL EXPERIENCES IN USING OPEN-SOURCE SOFTWARE FOR SEISMIC HAZARD AND RISK ASSESSMENT L. Danciu, D. Monelli, G. Weatherill, M. Pagani 59908
SHR1: P075 ASSESSING EARTHQUAKE SOURCE MODELS UNDER UNCERTAINTY WITH BAYESIAN ANALYSIS H. Cruz, M. Mai, E. Prudencio 60160
SHR1: P076 HOMOGENOUS CATALOG BASED ON LOCAL MAGNITUDE M.P. Shahvar, M. Zare 61342
SHR1: P077 PROBABILISTIC SEISMIC HAZARD ANALYSIS EAST JAVA REGION, INDONESIA USING USGS PSHA-2007 PROGRAM A. Susilo 59922

Please address your questions on participation in GA ESC 2012, abstract submission,
booking and acquiring of services, online registration system usage and website functioning to the Assembly Secretariat:

ESC 2012 Technical secretariat
Tel./Fax: +7 (495) 726-5135
Mob.: +7 (925) 278-84-55
e-mail: esc2012@onlinereg.ru



 

 
 

ESC 2012 Technical secretariat
esc2012@onlinereg.ru
+7 (495) 726-5135
Mob.: +7 (925) 278-84-55