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Seismic Tomography and the Earth Structure (ES-1) 

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New Frontiers in the Development, Evaluation, and Practical Application of Earthquake Forecast/Prediction Models (EFP-3)
20 August 2012, Monday
Lecture hall GREEN
Conveners J.D. Zechar, D. Schorlemmer, A. Mignan, W. Marzocchi
10:45-11:00 Spacio-temporal relations between nearest earthquakes and forecasting of strong seismic events (EFP3: O1)
V.I. German
11:00-11:15 The time evolution of seismic systems and non-equilibrium dynamics in ensemble of strong earthquakes (EFP3: O2)
S.Ts. Akopian, A.N. Kocharian
11:15-11:30 The avalanche-like stochastic earthquake model and some examples of the model application (EFP3: O3)
M.V. Rodkin, I.N. Tikhonov,
A.A. Kamnev
11:30-11:45 Improving precursory seismicity pattern recognition by better assessing the completeness magnitude (EFP3: O4)
A. Mignan
11:45-12:00 Coffee Break
12:00-12:15 Real-time seismicity evaluation: results from testing in Greece (EFP3: O5)
G.A. Papadopoulos,
B. Di Fiore, G. Minadakis
12:15-12:30 Combining precursory patterns and probabilistic forecast models using differential probability gains (EFP3: O6)
P.N. Shebalin, C. Narteau,
J.D. Zechar, M. Holschneider
12:30-12:45 Space-time prediction/forecast problem: difficulties of statistical analysis (EFP3: O7)
G.M. Molchan, L.L. Romashkova
12:45-13:00 Evaluation of maximum earthquake size for subduction zones (EFP3: O8)
Y.Y. Kagan
13:00-14:30 Lunch

 

17:30-18:30 POSTER SESSION-1: Monday, 20 August 2012
EFP-3: New Frontiers in the Development, Evaluation, and Practical Application of Earthquake Forecast/Prediction Models
Hall 2nd Floor, under PLENARY Hall
EFP3: P017 REFLECTION OF SEISMIC ACTIVITY AND EARTHQUAKE PREPARATION PROCESS IN THE DYNAMICS OF CHANGE OF THE CHEMICAL COMPOSITION OF GROUNDWATER A.E. Kazarian 57227
EFP3: P018 THE EXPERIMENTAL SYSTEM OF ESTIMATION SEISMIC HAZARDS OF THE TERRITORY OF RUSSIA E.A. Ivanov, G.S. Kushnir, E.A. Rogozhin, S.L. Yunga 57644
EFP3: P019 SEISMOGEOCHEMICAL ON-LINE - TECHNOLOGY FOR OPERATIVE ESTIMATION OF SEISMIC CONDITIONS OF FLUIDS GEOCHEMICAL FIELDS OF AZERBAIJAN
R.A. Keramova
61420
EFP3: P020 CORSSA: COMMUNITY ONLINE RESOURCE FOR STATISTICAL SEISMICITY ANALYSIS J.D. Zechar, J.L. Hardebeck, A.J. Michael2 M. Naylor, S. Steacy, S. Wiemer, J. Zhuang 59696
EFP3: P021 FOUR YEARS OF NEXT-DAY EARTHQUAKE FORECASTS IN CALIFORNIA J.D. Zechar, D.A.J. Eberhard, D. Schorlemmer, M.C. Gerstenberger, D.A. Rhoades 58952

Please address your questions on participation in GA ESC 2012, abstract submission,
booking and acquiring of services, online registration system usage and website functioning to the Assembly Secretariat:

ESC 2012 Technical secretariat
Tel./Fax: +7 (495) 726-5135
Mob.: +7 (925) 278-84-55
e-mail: esc2012@onlinereg.ru



 

 
 

ESC 2012 Technical secretariat
esc2012@onlinereg.ru
+7 (495) 726-5135
Mob.: +7 (925) 278-84-55